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Bitcoin’s Rocky Road: Arthur Hayes Warns of Short-Term Volatility Before Next Major Rally

Bitcoin’s Rocky Road: Arthur Hayes Warns of Short-Term Volatility Before Next Major Rally

Bitcoin News
Release Time:
2026-04-20 04:02:23
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In a recent commentary that has captured the attention of the crypto community, Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX and a highly influential voice in digital asset markets, has advised investors to exercise significant caution regarding Bitcoin's immediate future. Despite Bitcoin's notable rebound to the $69,000–$70,000 range, Hayes tempers expectations for a smooth, uninterrupted ascent. He explicitly stated he would not purchase "$1 of Bitcoin right now," signaling his belief that the current price level may not be sustainable in the near term. His primary concern centers on persistent macroeconomic uncertainties, which he anticipates will fuel continued market volatility. Hayes's analysis suggests that investors should brace for potential downside risks and price consolidation before the cryptocurrency can gather momentum for its next major bullish phase. This perspective underscores a critical narrative for 2026: that patience and strategic timing are paramount. While the long-term bullish thesis for Bitcoin remains intact among many professionals, Hayes's warning highlights the complex interplay between macroeconomic policy, investor sentiment, and price action. His advice serves as a reminder that even within a bullish framework, navigating short-term turbulence requires discipline and a keen eye on broader financial indicators, as the market may need to undergo further corrective movements before achieving a decisive breakthrough.

Arthur Hayes Advises Caution on Bitcoin Despite Recent Rebound

Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes has tempered expectations for Bitcoin's short-term performance, urging investors to remain patient amid macroeconomic uncertainties. While BTC recently recovered to the $69,000–$70,000 range, Hayes warns of potential downside risks before the next major rally.

Hayes, a prominent crypto commentator, stated he wouldn't buy "$1 of Bitcoin right now," anticipating continued volatility until central banks resume aggressive monetary easing. BTC currently trades around $69,000 after briefly touching $71,700, with total crypto market capitalization at $1.39 trillion and daily trading volume up 6.8% to $51.88 billion.

The Bitcoin market faces pressure from Federal Reserve policy, global liquidity conditions, and geopolitical tensions—particularly Middle East instability involving the U.S. and Iran. Hayes draws parallels to the 1990s Gulf War era, suggesting BTC could test support below $60,000 if risk-off sentiment intensifies.

Democrats Target Prediction Markets with 'DEATH BETS Act' as Crypto Markets React

House Democrats have introduced the 'Banning Games on Deaths and Elections Act,' a legislative push to prohibit event contracts tied to elections, war, and death on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. The move comes amid escalating scrutiny of insider trading and market manipulation in prediction markets.

Simultaneously, Sen. Adam Schiff and Rep. Mike Levin unveiled the 'DEATH BETS Act,' a companion bill aiming to explicitly ban such contracts under the Commodity Exchange Act. Rep. Jamie Raskin framed the issue as a threat to democratic integrity, calling election gambling contracts 'a direct assault on the electoral process.'

The crypto market reacted sharply, with Bitcoin shedding 1.8% overnight to $69,500—a $70,000 drop from recent highs. The broader digital asset sector remains volatile as regulatory uncertainty looms.

Zeta Network Secures $6M in Initial Funding Round to Expand Bitcoin Treasury

Zeta Network Group, a Nasdaq-listed fintech firm, has entered into a securities purchase agreement with institutional investors to raise up to $10 million through convertible promissory notes and warrants. The first tranche of $6 million, expected to close by March 12, 2026, will yield approximately $5.4 million after a 10% original issue discount.

The capital will bolster the company's Bitcoin holdings and fund business expansion. Maxim Group LLC serves as the sole placement agent for the transaction, which is registered under an effective SEC Form F-3 filing.

Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Could Test $42K Support Amid Market Volatility

Bitcoin's recent retreat below $70,000 has reignited bearish sentiment among analysts. Crypto strategist Xanrox warns of a potential 40% correction, targeting the $42,000 level despite current support at $62,000. The analysis points to weakening technical defenses, including the 200-week moving average and Fibonacci retracement levels.

Market behavior suggests a continuation of the downtrend, characterized by failed rebounds and diminishing upward momentum. 'Free fall mode' appears dominant, with brief recoveries quickly erased by subsequent selling pressure. The timeframe for this projected decline remains notably compressed, adding urgency to the warning.

February CPI Data Reflects Pre-War Economy as Bitcoin Holds at $70K Amid New Energy Shock

The U.S. February CPI report, collected before the recent Middle East conflict, shows a 2.5% annual inflation rate—slightly higher than January's 2.4%. This snapshot captures an economy already altered by surging oil prices and supply chain disruptions.

Gas prices have since climbed to $3.57 per gallon as geopolitical tensions triggered the largest energy shock since 2022. The Fed now faces a policy dilemma: cut rates into rising inflation or maintain restrictive measures during market turbulence.

Bitcoin's stability near $70,000 suggests investors view it as a hedge against monetary policy uncertainty. The disconnect between lagging economic data and real-time price surges creates fertile ground for crypto volatility.

Bitcoin Briefly Tops $70K Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Oil Volatility

Bitcoin surged past the $70,000 threshold before retracing slightly, trading around $69,696 at press time—a 1.5% dip over 24 hours. Despite the pullback, momentum remains robust with a $1.39 trillion market cap and $50.08 billion in daily volume, signaling sustained trader interest.

Social media platforms buzz with FOMO as bullish sentiment peaks this month. The rally coincides with escalating Middle East tensions following U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran, though remarks from former President Trump hint at potential de-escalation. Oil price swings further amplify market sensitivity, reviving debates about crypto's correlation to macro instability.

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